The next 20 years could see the demise of the school as we know it - and bigger changes in the structure of learning than at any time since the Forster Education Act of 1870.
Changing technology is only the smallest consideration. Among others are: the theories of independent and co-operative learning will show how outdated is the model emphasised by Johnson of "groups of young people led by one or more adults"; empowerment and ownership issues will lead to learner-based learning rather than centralised curricula; emphasis on continued, lifelong and informal learning will reduce the power of institutions which operate ineffectively for such a small part of the learning life; changing financial and political structures will move the centre of gravity away from schools as organised today.
What will come in place of schools? That is a very useful question which think-tank gurus and every teacher (and child) could well consider.
John Bibby 1 Straylands Grove, York