Councils in Scotland are facing “increasingly difficult choices” on spending, a new report warns, with two-thirds of local authorities planning to use cash reserves over the coming year and one-third planning to make savings as a result of budget gaps.
A new report by the Accounts Commission on the financial situation of Scotland’s 32 local authorities says that their total debt has increased by £0.3 billion to £19 billion.
It says that in 2022-23 there is a “budget gap” between income and spending of £400 million - with two-thirds of authorities set to use their financial reserves to deal with shortfalls.
However, the commission says that this “reliance on non-recurring reserves is not sustainable in the medium to long term”.
Just over a third are planning on making savings as a result of budget gaps, the report reveals, with some planning increases in council tax charges to help with this.
Speaking on BBC Radio Scotland this morning, Kathleen Robertson, leader of Moray Council, said that following four or five years of “quite major cuts”, basic services like social care and education are now going to be “under threat”.
She predicted job losses, saying: “We are at a stage where there isn’t really much more to cut, so it’s going to be extremely challenging. Some of our basic services are going to be under threat and there will potentially be job losses in order to meet just the delivery of the most straightforward, expected services that we have to deliver, such as social care and education.”
Education jobs ‘under threat’
Ms Robertson added: “The statutory services that we have to provide like social care and education - there is going to have to be cuts in there. We are going potentially have to look at class sizes, we are going to potentially have to look at what curriculum we can actually deliver.
“When it comes to social care, it’s going to be how long can we spend with somebody in order to provide them with a meal, in order to get to the next person.
“We don’t know [what’s going to happen]. There are so many things we are going to have to look at and see where we can find efficiencies and where we can find savings.”
The commission’s report warns that despite receiving extra funding to help deal with Covid in 2021-22, councils had “continued to face significant financial challenges”, which had required “significant savings to deliver balanced budgets and increasingly difficult choices to be made about spending priorities”.
The report continues: “Councils are having to deal with a number of significant financial challenges and will need to make some difficult decisions with their spending priorities.
“At a time when councils and their communities are still feeling the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic, councils are now having to deal with the cost-of-living crisis and inflationary pressures.”
Councils received £20.3 billion in combined revenue funding and income from other sources in 2021-22, which was down by £0.3 billion on the previous year in real terms.
Almost a quarter of revenue funding (23 per cent) was ringfenced for spending on specific areas or projects last year, the report adds, with this up from 18 per cent in 2020-21.
Accounts Commission chair William Moyes described the financial situation of councils as “increasingly fragile”.
“Councils are having to deal with the effects of inflation, the increasingly desperate cost-of-living impacts and rising demand for services, whilst at the same time delivering vital day-to-day services to their communities,” he said.
“To be financially sustainable, councils must deliver savings and reduce reliance on non-recurring reserves to fill budget gaps.
“If they are to find a safe path through the difficult times ahead, councils need to focus more on service reform, alongside meaningful engagement with their communities about what services can be provided given the financial pressures they are facing.”
Conservative local government spokesman Miles Briggs said the report shows how “Scotland’s councils are now beyond breaking point”.
“This report must be a wake-up call for ministers to finally address the increasingly precarious position for our councils, and ensure they receive a fair funding deal,” he said.
“This damning report makes it clear that is only set to get worse for our local authorities.
“With a significant proportion of their budgets tied up in ringfenced policy areas, councils have little room for flexibility due to orders from the SNP-Green government.”
Katie Hagmann, resources spokesperson for the local government body Cosla, said the report “clearly and impartially sets out the worrying state of council finances”.
She added: “Cosla has been absolutely clear over recent years that councils are facing extremely difficult financial choices due to real-terms cuts and increasing demand, now compounded by inflation, the cost-of-living crisis and the impact of Covid.”
With councils in an “extremely precarious financial situation”, she added: “There is a real danger that as well as cuts, some essential services may stop altogether - we have already seen reports in the media of what councils are considering.
“This is as a consequence of real-term cuts to the core budgets of Scotland’s 32 councils over recent years.”
A Scottish government spokesperson said: “The Scottish government recognises the crucial role councils and their employees play in our communities across Scotland and the challenging financial circumstances they face.
“The Scottish government’s settlements from the UK government have suffered a decade of austerity, with average real-terms cuts of more than 5 per cent equating to a loss of £18 billion. Despite this, local authority revenue funding is £2.2 billion or 22.9 per cent higher in cash terms in the current financial year than it was in 2013-14.”
The government spokesperson added: “While ring-fenced funding is for increased investment in services like our schools and nurseries, local authorities will have autonomy to allocate over 93 per cent or £12.3 billion of the funding we will be providing in 2023-24, plus all locally raised income.
“It is the responsibility of individual councils to manage their own budgets and to allocate the financial resources available to them on the basis of local needs and priorities.”
